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Sunday, 23 January 2022

Tether refutes allegations that it's operating as a fractional reserve bank

A quiet update to Tether’s website suggests the stablecoin is playing fast and loose with its fragile ‘dollar reserves.'

[UPDATED AT BOTTOM OF ARTICLE WITH RESPONSE FROM TETHER]

So-called stablecoin Tether has been diversifying its dollar reserves like a traditional bank, according to a beguiling update on its official website (credit to redditor AtlasRand1, the alter-ego of legendary Tether-skeptic BitFinex’ed). This is less than ideal because it is not a traditional bank—it is a fragile, high risk cryptocurrency ecosystem whose very functioning depends on one basic principle: the IOU.

We call Tether an IOU stablecoin because it (supposedly) derives its dollar-peg from the assurance that each tether is backed by a fully redeemable dollar—i.e. a debt. Yet the following quote raises questions over how well-equipped Tether is to repay that debt:

“Every tether is always 100% backed by our reserves, which include traditional currency and cash equivalents and, from time to time, may include other assets and receivables from loans made by Tether to third parties, which may include affiliated entities (collectively, “reserves”). Every tether is also 1-to-1 pegged to the dollar, so 1 USD₮ is always valued by Tether at 1 USD.”

So, what’s going on?

In general, the suspicion surrounding tether has focused most heavily on the liquidity of its reserves—whether all tethers are backed. Several factors have compounded the confusion: Tether shares an executive board with BitFinex, an exchange accused of using the tether cryptocurrency to fraudulently pump the price of bitcoin; Tether has never conducted a full audit, relying instead on amateurs and a Bloomberg journalist and, finally, Tether’s liquidity rests heavily on banks with patchy track records.

The adjusted statement above only serves to complicate these liquidity issues further. What used to be a clear statement outlining the simple IOU model/mechanics—that each Tether is backed 1:1 with “dollars” in Tether’s reserves—has been replaced with the more nebulous assurance of “our reserves.” These “reserves” include “traditional currency” (dollars not specified), and—crucially—“from time to time, may include other assets and receivables from loans made by Tether to third parties, which may include affiliated entities.” (Emphasis ours.)

Let’s unpack this. The clearest implication is that Tether is operating like a fractional reserve bank. Fractional reserve banks loan out customers’ assets to a range of trusted third parties/investors, who return the funds—hopefully—in the form of interest. This is all very well for banks, which customers expect to generate interest. Tether, on the other hand, promises the exact opposite—that customers’ investments will remain stable. (Not to mention that it just replicates the existent, hated financial system.) 

That Tether diversifies its stock with “other assets” could amplify this instability. Other assets, of course, fluctuate at different rates to the dollar. Let’s say Tether is backed partially by gold, for instance. If the gold’s notional value increases at a faster rate than its dollar-value, the tethers will be backed in excess. If the gold depreciates, the peg will be at risk of collapse.    

Now imagine these “other assets” are in fact cryptocurrencies, specifically the highly volatile bitcoin. Confidence in Tether’s stability would plummet.

And now we get to the heart of it. The sources of “other assets” may include “affiliated entities.” What is Tether’s best known affiliated entity? BitFinex, the largest crypto exchange by trading volume, which, as we have mentioned, shares its executives with Tether. (Revealed originally via a leak in the Paradise Papers.)

If Tether’s reserves are partially backed by other assets supplied by BitFinex, in exchange for “loans and receivables made by Tether,” that effectively means that Tether is loaning out funds to itself, in exchange for assets from itself, meaning it is running as a sort of bizarre perpetual-motion sham. Even worse is if those assets are bitcoins, which would imply—provided the allegations that Tether buys bitcoins with unbacked tethers are true—that Tether is backing its reserves with assets bought far below their notional dollar value. 

Or, as “PaloAltcoin” wrote on Reddit:

“If I read this correctly, [tethers] are actually backed by cryptocurrency. So, when the price drops and people flock to Tether, it increases the amount of Tether and it decreases the funds it’s backed by. This is just Bitconnect with extra steps.”

Gosh, perhaps we ought to look at Tether’s “proof of funds” link and check the reserves ourselves?

Ah—the link is dead.

UPDATE:

We pressed Tether on the nature of the underlying assets, its relationship with BitFinex, the dysfunctional "proof of funds" link and when the update was made. A spokesperson named "Kaspar Bitfinex" told us this:

"From time to time, Tether reviews its Terms of Service and Risk Disclosures to ensure that they remain appropriate and up to date. Our most recent revisions were intended to update our disclosures to reflect Tether’s growth and operations and to be consistent with the types of disclosures used by other institutions.

These changes were made several weeks ago and were directly communicated to Tether’s customers logging into the site. This was done by way of scrollwrap with new terms of service that required active consent.

Tethers remain completely stable and 100% backed, so Tether’s reserves always equal or exceed the number of issued Tethers. The only change is that the composition of the assets that provide that backing includes a combination of cash, cash equivalents, and may also include other assets or receivables from loans issued by Tether."

I hope this answers your questions."

You be the judge of that.

REGISTER


Bitcoin Sinks Below $35,000 Overnight

The crypto crash worsened on Friday night. Now Bitcoin is on the way back up—was $34,420 the bottom?

Bitcoin continued to plunge overnight—briefly dropping below $35,000 to a low of $34,420 on CoinMarketCap—before beginning a slow rebound on Saturday morning. 

It's still down almost 10% over the past 24 hours, according to CMC, and is currently priced at just under $35,000.

Bitcoin's 24-hour low of $34,020.27 saw the cryptocurrency tumble to levels it hadn't previously touched for six months, back in July 2021. 

After hitting an all-time high on November 10 last year of $69k, Bitcoin’s price has slowly slipped, picking up its sell-off in recent weeks. 

And it's not just Bitcoin, either. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is also suffering: its price has taken a 15% hit in the past 24 hours, trading at just under $2,400 at the time of writing. 

Ethereum, like Bitcoin, is well off the all-time high it touched back in November of $4,878.26—by 49%. Popular tokens that run on the Ethereum network have not been able to avoid the sell-off in the past 24 hours. 

Meanwhile, Ethereum competitor Solana, which had a mighty boom last year, and seemingly sprung out of nowhere to land in the top 10 cryptos by market cap, is down 23% in the past day, trading at just under $94.

When will the bloodbath end? 

Saturday, 22 January 2022

BTC price falls to $34K as Bitcoin RSI reaches most 'oversold' since March 2020 crash

It's looking more and more like a capitulation, but so far, open interest remains "unflushed," analysts warn
Bitcoin (BTC) refused to stem recent losses during Jan. 22 as predictions of a flight to $33,000 and lower looked increasingly likely to become a reality.

Open interest "still not flushed"

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC/USD as it fell through $35,000 during the first half of Saturday.

With few silver linings available for the bulls, lower weekend volume was poised to deliver some classic erratic moves after Bitcoin lost $40,000 support on Friday.

While some, including El Salvador, made the most of the new lower levels, others voiced concern that despite the drop, pressure still remained on bulls.

"Crazy part is open interest still hasn't flushed," trader and analyst William Clemente summarized, one of many market participants noting that derivatives traders are still attempting to fight the trend.

"After all this carnage and absolute state of panic funding somehow isn't giga negative, futs aren't backwarded and OI barely went down. Interesting times. And with 'interesting' I mean poverty," popular Twitter account Byzantine General additionally quipped

RSI sinks towards March 2020 COVID lows

A source of slight relief came in the form of Bitcoin's relative strength index (RSI) on the day, this dipping to its lowest levels since March 2020.

Related: Here’s 3 ways the relative strength index (RSI) can be used as a sell signal

At that time, BTC/USD crashed to $3,600 before staging a comeback that would last well into the following year.

Daily RSI stood at just 20 Saturday, already well below even the classic "oversold" zone.

"A bit more reliable than Bitcoin alone -> total market capitalization is at next level of support, while the daily RSI hits the lowest level since March 2020," Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe commented on the situation.

"Equities sentiment is also on the lowest level since March 2020. Says it all."

Equities markets had taken a hit towards the end of the week, with tech stocks particularly in the line of fire and crypto once again showing the extent of its positive correlation.

JDT Will Announce An Attractive NFT Project Especially For Fans This Year


In July 2021, JDT has announced their NFT idea in joining the crypto arena by offering a number of digital works with benefits for its fans. This is also one of the good developments for the local crypto industry which is now starting to have a large number of users.

Recently, Johor Darul Ta’zim Football Club (JDT) is reported to be in the final process of finalizing and will announce two interesting projects under the umbrella of JDT Digital. The project includes ‘JDT Fan Token’ and ‘JDT NFT Marketplace’ with two international companies with agreements worth millions of ringgit.

Discussions have already taken place with large international companies in the industry to ensure that the JDT club can realize a well-planned program with premium products and value to supporters. This is very important because we want to achieve the standards set by DYAM Major General Tunku Ismail Ibni Sultan Ibrahim.

The first project in question is the JDT NFT Marketplace where allowing supporters to collect a collection of artwork inspired by the club with each token owned will provide a range of unique advantages in engagement with this leading Southeast Asian club.

Apart from collecting JDT NFTs, supporters also have the opportunity to enjoy once -in -a -lifetime experiences such as VIP hospitality, unique experiences with players and have access to exclusive JDT memorabilia.

This NFT JDT project is different from the projects made by a handful of other clubs because it offers gamification and real world benefits through the artwork and tokens.

Through JDT Fan Token, the opinions of supporters will be heard more because supporters can vote in some non -technical decisions of the club as well as receive exclusive prizes and promotions that cannot be bought with money. Together we look forward to the official launch of these two pretty exciting NFT projects.

Previously, Selangor FC has emerged as Malaysia's first football club by offering digital works through the OpenSea and Pentas platforms

Dogecoin Drops to Lowest Price in Nine Months as Crypto Market Sinks

The original meme coin is now down 81% from its all-time high in May 2021, continuing its gradual decline in value.

It’s a brutal day across the cryptocurrency market, which has shed about 13% of its overall value in the last 24 hours, per CoinGecko. And while the especially volatile meme coin Dogecoin has seen a lesser daily dip, it’s now at its lowest point in more than nine months.

Dogecoin is down nearly 9% over the last 24 hours to a current price just above $0.14, as of this writing, and it briefly dipped below the $0.14 mark this afternoon. DOGE has now dropped 18% over the last seven days, according to CoinGecko’s data.

Dropping under $0.14 today, Dogecoin reached its lowest point since mid-April 2021, when the long-running meme coin was in the midst of a social media-fueled surge that took its value from about $0.07 to $0.40 in a matter of days.

Dogecoin saw an immense rise in value in early 2021. It began the year priced at less than one penny per coin, and then ticked up significantly starting in late January as part of the wider meme stock trading frenzy. DOGE popped to a then-peak of about $0.08 per coin in early February before the price started to dwindle.

But DOGE’s value multiplied several times further in April and May, ultimately reaching an all-time high above $0.73 on May 8. That peak wouldn’t hold, however.

As the wider crypto market entered an early summer free fall, DOGE dropped hard with occasional upward swings, but never came close to recapturing its top. According to CoinGecko, DOGE hasn’t been above $0.30 since early September. As of this writing, Dogecoin’s price has fallen 81% since marking its all-time high.

DOGE was created as a joke in 2013, but gained serious value in 2021 as millions of new investors flooded into cryptocurrency. It found prominent fans in Mark Cuban and Elon Musk, the latter of which has a propensity to pump DOGE’s price with his tweets. It also boosted Robinhood’s crypto business, although the company warned of the risk of relying on such a volatile coin.

Whether Dogecoin can regain its early 2021 momentum and reach the fabled $1.00 milestone remains to be seen—but right now, it has fallen far from its peak. Today’s wider market crash has only exacerbated the coin’s gradual decline in recent months.

As for Shiba Inu, the Ethereum-based meme token that emerged as DOGE’s main rival last year—and even briefly surpassed Dogecoin in market cap—it’s down a larger 16% at a current price of $0.00002273. SHIB hit a three-month low today, per data from CoinGecko, and is now down 74% from its late October all-time high of $0.00008616.